Mops, Sponges and The Months Supply of Inventory
Some months I have felt like I needed a huge mop to soak up the excess inventory. And in some markets that’s still the image that resonates.
But here in Tredyffrin Township for the Third Quarter Real Estate Market, we’re showing signs of recovery. The months supply of inventory is down to 5.6 months. Keep in mind that the MSI and the Absorption Rate is based on the assumption that no new inventory is coming on the market, which is never the case.
The Months Supply of Inventory and Absorption Rates are averages, so there are definitely properties selling within days and even some with more than one offer and others, especially in luxury home price ranges, that are languishing. Read the rest of this entry »
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How Do I Calculate The Absorption Rate and The Months Supply of Inventory?
The Absorption Rate has historically been used in New Construction planning and financing. Builders need to know how many homes can be absorbed into any given market before the first shovel goes in the ground. Lead time, financing and market shifts are unforgiving when you plan and build in a Sellers Market, but sell in a Buyers Market, such as we have now. However unscientific, a savvy Realtor can almost predict a market downturn or recovery by watching the incentive giveaways. How do we define a Buyers Market? It’s generally considered to be anything over about six months of inventory.
Absorption Rate and Months Supply of Inventory can help Sellers and Buyers understand the market. A Realtor who doesn’t use these indicators is like a violinist without a bow or a mechanic without a socket wrench ~ you might not hear the music or know how to fix it when the market shifts. These simple calculations can produce some elegant results: Read the rest of this entry »
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